Questions: Use the data in the following table, which lists drive-thru order accuracy at popular fast food chains. Assume that orders are randomly selected from those included in the table. Drive-thru Restaurant A B C D Order Accurate 328 268 247 149 Order Not Accurate 31 58 34 12 If two orders are selected, find the probability that they are both from Restaurant D. a. Assume that the selections are made with replacement. Are the events independent? b. Assume that the selections are made without replacement. Are the events independent?

Use the data in the following table, which lists drive-thru order accuracy at popular fast food chains. Assume that orders are randomly selected from those included in the table.

Drive-thru Restaurant

  A  B  C  D 
 Order Accurate  328  268  247  149 
 Order Not Accurate  31  58  34  12 

If two orders are selected, find the probability that they are both from Restaurant D.
a. Assume that the selections are made with replacement. Are the events independent?

b. Assume that the selections are made without replacement. Are the events independent?
Transcript text: Use the data in the following table, which lists drive-thru order accuracy at popular fast food chains. Assume that orders are randomly selected from those included in the table. Drive-thru Restaurant \begin{tabular}{|l|c|c|c|c|} \hline & A & B & C & D \\ \hline Order Accurate & 328 & 268 & 247 & 149 \\ \hline Order Not Accurate & 31 & 58 & 34 & 12 \\ \hline \end{tabular} If two orders are selected, find the probability that they are both from Restaurant D. a. Assume that the selections are made with replacement. Are the events independent? b. Assume that the selections are made without replacement. Are the events independent?
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Solution

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Solution Steps

Step 1: Probability with Replacement

To find the probability of selecting two orders from Restaurant D with replacement, we first calculate the probability of selecting one order from Restaurant D:

\[ P(D) = \frac{149}{1127} \approx 0.1323 \]

Since the selections are made with replacement, the probability of selecting two orders from Restaurant D is:

\[ P(X = 2) = P(D) \times P(D) = \left(\frac{149}{1127}\right)^2 \approx 0.0204 \]

Step 2: Probability without Replacement

Next, we calculate the probability of selecting two orders from Restaurant D without replacement using the hypergeometric distribution. The formula for the hypergeometric probability is:

\[ P(X = k) = \frac{\binom{K}{k} \binom{N-K}{n-k}}{\binom{N}{n}} \]

Where:

  • \(N = 1127\) (total orders)
  • \(K = 149\) (orders from Restaurant D)
  • \(n = 2\) (number of orders drawn)
  • \(k = 2\) (number of orders from Restaurant D drawn)

Substituting the values, we have:

\[ P(X = 2) = \frac{\binom{149}{2} \binom{978}{0}}{\binom{1127}{2}} = \frac{11076}{634878} \approx 0.0203 \]

Step 3: Independence of Events
  • With Replacement: The events are independent because the selection of the first order does not affect the probability of selecting the second order.

  • Without Replacement: The events are not independent because the selection of the first order affects the probability of selecting the second order.

Final Answer

The probability of selecting two orders from Restaurant D with replacement is approximately \(0.0204\), and without replacement, it is approximately \(0.0203\). The events are independent with replacement and not independent without replacement.

\[ \boxed{ \begin{align_} P(\text{two orders from D with replacement}) & \approx 0.0204 \\ P(\text{two orders from D without replacement}) & \approx 0.0203 \\ \text{Events with replacement} & \text{ are independent} \\ \text{Events without replacement} & \text{ are not independent} \end{align_} } \]

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