Questions: Refer to the sample data for pre-employment drug screening shown below. If one of the subjects is randomly selected, what is the probability that the test result is a false positive? Who would suffer from a false positive result? Why?
Pre-Employment Drug Screening Results
Positive test result Negative test result
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Drug Use Is Indicated 37 4
Subject Is Not a Drug User 18 36
The probability of a false positive test result is .
(Round to three decimal places as needed.)
Transcript text: Refer to the sample data for pre-employment drug screening shown below. If one of the subjects is randomly selected, what is the probability that the test result is a false positive? Who would suffer from a false positive result? Why?
\begin{tabular}{lcc}
& Pre-Employment Drug Screening Results \\
& \begin{tabular}{c}
Positive test result
\end{tabular} & Negative test result \\
& Drug Use Is Indicated & Drug Use Is Not Indicated \\
Subject Uses Drugs & 37 & 4 \\
Subject Is Not a Drug User & 18 & 36
\end{tabular}
The probability of a false positive test result is $\square$ .
(Round to three decimal places as needed.)
Solution
Solution Steps
To find the probability of a false positive, we need to determine the number of false positive cases and divide it by the total number of subjects. A false positive occurs when the test indicates drug use, but the subject is not a drug user. In this case, the number of false positives is 18. The total number of subjects is the sum of all the subjects in the table.
Step 1: Identify False Positives
A false positive occurs when the test result is positive, but the subject is not a drug user. From the data, the number of false positives is 18.
Step 2: Calculate Total Number of Subjects
The total number of subjects is the sum of all the entries in the table:
\[
37 + 4 + 18 + 36 = 95
\]
Step 3: Calculate Probability of a False Positive
The probability of a false positive is given by the ratio of false positives to the total number of subjects:
\[
\frac{18}{95} \approx 0.1895
\]
Final Answer
The probability of a false positive test result is \(\boxed{0.189}\).