Questions: Which forecasting method assumes that next period's forecast is equal to this period's actual value?
A) Naive
B) Ignorant
C) Simple mean
D) Nescient
E) Basic
Transcript text: Which forecasting method assumes that next period's forecast is equal to this period's actual value?
A) Naive
B) Ignorant
C) Simple mean
D) Nescient
E) Basic
Solution
Solution Steps
The question is asking which forecasting method assumes that the next period's forecast is equal to this period's actual value. This is a conceptual question rather than a computational one. The correct answer is the "Naive" forecasting method.
Step 1: Understanding the Question
The question asks which forecasting method assumes that the next period's forecast is equal to the actual value of the current period. This is a fundamental concept in time series forecasting.
Step 2: Identifying the Correct Method
Among the options provided:
A) Naive
B) Ignorant
C) Simple mean
D) Nescient
E) Basic
The "Naive" forecasting method is defined as taking the actual value from the current period as the forecast for the next period. Therefore, it is the correct choice.