Questions: If three persons are selected at random, what is the probability that one is a woman? (Round the answer to six decimal

If three persons are selected at random, what is the probability that one is a woman? (Round the answer to six decimal
Transcript text: If three persons are selected at random, what is the probability that one is a woman? (Round the answer to six decimal
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Solution

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Solution Steps

To solve this problem, we need to calculate the probability that exactly one out of three randomly selected people is a woman. Assuming the probability of selecting a woman is given by the decimal 0.416667, we can use the binomial probability formula. The formula for the probability of getting exactly \( k \) successes (in this case, selecting a woman) in \( n \) trials (people selected) is given by:

\[ P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} \cdot p^k \cdot (1-p)^{n-k} \]

where \( \binom{n}{k} \) is the binomial coefficient, \( p \) is the probability of success on a single trial, and \( n \) is the number of trials.

Step 1: Identify the Given Probability and Parameters

We are given the probability of selecting a woman, \( p = 0.4167 \). We need to find the probability that exactly one out of three randomly selected people is a woman. The number of trials is \( n = 3 \), and the number of successes (selecting a woman) is \( k = 1 \).

Step 2: Apply the Binomial Probability Formula

The probability of getting exactly \( k \) successes in \( n \) trials is given by the binomial probability formula:

\[ P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} \cdot p^k \cdot (1-p)^{n-k} \]

Substituting the values, we have:

\[ P(X = 1) = \binom{3}{1} \cdot (0.4167)^1 \cdot (1 - 0.4167)^{3-1} \]

Step 3: Calculate the Binomial Coefficient

The binomial coefficient \(\binom{3}{1}\) is calculated as:

\[ \binom{3}{1} = \frac{3!}{1!(3-1)!} = 3 \]

Step 4: Compute the Probability

Substitute the values into the formula:

\[ P(X = 1) = 3 \cdot 0.4167 \cdot (1 - 0.4167)^2 \]

Calculate the probability:

\[ P(X = 1) = 3 \cdot 0.4167 \cdot 0.5833^2 \]

\[ P(X = 1) \approx 0.4253 \]

Final Answer

\(\boxed{0.425300}\)

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