Questions: In a survey of 2303 adults, 715 say they believe in UFOs. Construct a 95% confidence interval for the population proportion of adults who believe in UFOs. A 95% confidence interval for the population proportion is ( (Round to three decimal places as needed.) Interpret your results. Choose the correct answer below. A. The endpoints of the given confidence interval shows that 95% of adults believe in UFOs. B. With 95% confidence, it can be said that the population proportion of adults who believe in UFOs is between the endpoints of the given confidence interval. C. With 95% confidence, it can be said that the sample proportion of adults who believe in UFOs is between the endpoints of the given confidence interval. D. With 95% probability, the population proportion of adults who do not believe in UFOs is between the endpoints of the given confidence interval.

In a survey of 2303 adults, 715 say they believe in UFOs.
Construct a 95% confidence interval for the population proportion of adults who believe in UFOs.

A 95% confidence interval for the population proportion is ( 
(Round to three decimal places as needed.)
Interpret your results. Choose the correct answer below.
A. The endpoints of the given confidence interval shows that 95% of adults believe in UFOs.
B. With 95% confidence, it can be said that the population proportion of adults who believe in UFOs is between the endpoints of the given confidence interval.
C. With 95% confidence, it can be said that the sample proportion of adults who believe in UFOs is between the endpoints of the given confidence interval.
D. With 95% probability, the population proportion of adults who do not believe in UFOs is between the endpoints of the given confidence interval.
Transcript text: In a survey of 2303 adults, 715 say they believe in UFOs. Construct a $95 \%$ confidence interval for the population proportion of adults who believe in UFOs. A 95\% confidence interval for the population proportion is ( $\square$ (Round to three decimal places as needed.) Interpret your results. Choose the correct answer below. A. The endpoints of the given confidence interval shows that $95 \%$ of adults believe in UFOs. B. With $95 \%$ confidence, it can be said that the population proportion of adults who believe in UFOs is between the endpoints of the given confidence interval. C. With $95 \%$ confidence, it can be said that the sample proportion of adults who believe in UFOs is between the endpoints of the given confidence interval. D. With $95 \%$ probability, the population proportion of adults who do not believe in UFOs is between the endpoints of the given confidence interval.
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Solution

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Solution Steps

Step 1: Calculate the Sample Proportion

The sample proportion of adults who believe in UFOs is calculated as follows:

\[ \hat{p} = \frac{x}{n} = \frac{715}{2303} \approx 0.3105 \]

Step 2: Determine the Confidence Interval

To construct a 95% confidence interval for the population proportion, we use the formula:

\[ \hat{p} \pm z \sqrt{\frac{\hat{p}(1 - \hat{p})}{n}} \]

Where:

  • \( \hat{p} \) is the sample proportion.
  • \( z \) is the z-score corresponding to the desired confidence level (for 95%, \( z \approx 1.96 \)).
  • \( n \) is the sample size.

Substituting the values:

\[ 0.3105 \pm 1.96 \cdot \sqrt{\frac{0.3105(1 - 0.3105)}{2303}} \]

Calculating the margin of error:

\[ \text{Margin of Error} = 1.96 \cdot \sqrt{\frac{0.3105 \cdot 0.6895}{2303}} \approx 0.0185 \]

Thus, the confidence interval is:

\[ (0.3105 - 0.0185, 0.3105 + 0.0185) = (0.292, 0.329) \]

Step 3: Interpretation of Results

With 95% confidence, it can be said that the population proportion of adults who believe in UFOs is between the endpoints of the given confidence interval:

\[ \text{Confidence Interval: } (0.292, 0.329) \]

Final Answer

The endpoints of the 95% confidence interval for the population proportion of adults who believe in UFOs are:

\[ \boxed{(0.292, 0.329)} \]

With 95% confidence, it can be said that the population proportion of adults who believe in UFOs is between the endpoints of the given confidence interval. Thus, the correct interpretation is option B.

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