Questions: Classify the following statement as an example of classical probability, empirical probability, or subjective probability. Explain your reasoning. An analyst feels that a certain stock's probability of increasing in price over the next month is 0.78.
Transcript text: Classify the following statement as an example of classical probability, empirical probability, or subjective probability. Explain your reasoning.
An analyst feels that a certain stock's probability of increasing in price over the next month is 0.78.
Solution
Solution Steps
To classify the given statement, we need to understand the definitions of classical, empirical, and subjective probability:
Classical Probability: Based on the assumption that all outcomes are equally likely.
Empirical Probability: Based on observed data or experiments.
Subjective Probability: Based on personal judgment or opinion.
Given that the analyst's feeling about the stock's probability is based on personal judgment, it is an example of subjective probability.
Step 1: Understand the Types of Probability
To classify the given statement, we need to understand the definitions of classical, empirical, and subjective probability:
Classical Probability: Based on the assumption that all outcomes are equally likely.
Empirical Probability: Based on observed data or experiments.
Subjective Probability: Based on personal judgment or opinion.
Step 2: Analyze the Given Statement
The statement mentions that an analyst feels that a certain stock's probability of increasing in price over the next month is \(0.78\). This probability is based on the analyst's personal judgment rather than on equally likely outcomes or observed data.
Step 3: Classify the Probability
Since the probability is based on the analyst's personal judgment, it is an example of subjective probability.
Final Answer
The given statement is an example of \(\boxed{\text{subjective}}\) probability.