The probability of the event occurring, given odds of "1 to 195199641", is approximately 5.\times 10^{-9}.
Given odds are in the form of "1 to N", where N
represents the number of unsuccessful outcomes for every successful outcome.
In this case, N
is 824123. This means for every 1 successful outcome, there are 824123 unsuccessful outcomes.
The probability \(P\) of the event occurring, given odds of "1 to N", can be calculated using the formula:
\[P = \frac{1}{1 + N}\]
Substituting the given value of N
(824123) into the formula, we get:
\[P = \frac1{1 + 824123} = 1.2134\times 10^{-6}\]
The resulting probability is already in its simplest form, as it represents the ratio of successful outcomes to the total number of outcomes.
- Outcomes are mutually exclusive.
- The odds are fixed and accurately represent the ratio of unsuccessful to successful outcomes.
- There are no external factors changing the odds dynamically.
- The odds and resulting probabilities are treated as rational numbers.