Questions: On average, 3.5 traffic accidents per month occur at a certain intersection. Complete parts (a) through (c) below. Click here to view the table of Poisson probability sums. (a) What is the probability that exactly 7 accidents will occur in any given month at this intersection? The probability that exactly 7 accidents will occur in any given month at this intersection is (Round to four decimal places as needed.)

On average, 3.5 traffic accidents per month occur at a certain intersection. Complete parts (a) through (c) below.

Click here to view the table of Poisson probability sums.
(a) What is the probability that exactly 7 accidents will occur in any given month at this intersection?

The probability that exactly 7 accidents will occur in any given month at this intersection is
(Round to four decimal places as needed.)
Transcript text: On average, 3.5 traffic accidents per month occur at a certain intersection. Complete parts (a) through (c) below. Click here to view the table of Poisson probability sums. (a) What is the probability that exactly 7 accidents will occur in any given month at this intersection? The probability that exactly 7 accidents will occur in any given month at this intersection is (Round to four decimal places as needed.) $\square$
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Solution

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Solution Steps

To solve this problem, we will use the Poisson probability formula, which is suitable for calculating the probability of a given number of events happening in a fixed interval of time. The formula is:

\[ P(X = k) = \frac{e^{-\lambda} \cdot \lambda^k}{k!} \]

where \( \lambda \) is the average number of events (3.5 in this case), \( k \) is the number of events we want the probability for (7 in this case), and \( e \) is the base of the natural logarithm.

Step 1: Identify the Problem Type

We need to find the probability of exactly 7 traffic accidents occurring in a month at an intersection where the average number of accidents is 3.5 per month. This is a Poisson distribution problem.

Step 2: Apply the Poisson Probability Formula

The Poisson probability formula is:

\[ P(X = k) = \frac{e^{-\lambda} \cdot \lambda^k}{k!} \]

where:

  • \(\lambda = 3.5\)
  • \(k = 7\)
Step 3: Calculate the Probability

Substitute the values into the formula:

\[ P(X = 7) = \frac{e^{-3.5} \cdot 3.5^7}{7!} \]

Step 4: Simplify and Compute

Calculate the expression:

\[ P(X = 7) \approx 0.0385 \]

Final Answer

The probability that exactly 7 accidents will occur in any given month at this intersection is \(\boxed{0.0385}\).

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