Questions: Assume the Poisson distribution applies. Use the given mean to find the indicated probability. Find P(4) when μ=9. P(4)= (Round to the nearest thousandth as needed.)

Assume the Poisson distribution applies. Use the given mean to find the indicated probability. Find P(4) when μ=9.
P(4)=
(Round to the nearest thousandth as needed.)
Transcript text: Assume the Poisson distribution applies. Use the given mean to find the indicated probability. Find $P(4)$ when $\mu=9$. \[ P(4)= \] (Round to the nearest thousandth as needed.)
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Solution

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Solution Steps

Step 1: Understand the Problem

We are given a Poisson distribution with a mean \(\lambda = 9\). We need to find the probability of observing exactly 4 events, denoted as \(P(4)\).

Step 2: Poisson Probability Formula

The probability of observing \(k\) events in a Poisson distribution is given by the formula: \[ P(X = k) = \frac{\lambda^k e^{-\lambda}}{k!} \] where:

  • \(\lambda\) is the average number of events,
  • \(k\) is the number of events for which the probability is calculated,
  • \(e\) is the base of the natural logarithm (approximately 2.71828).
Step 3: Substitute the Values

Substitute \(\lambda = 9\) and \(k = 4\) into the formula: \[ P(X = 4) = \frac{9^4 e^{-9}}{4!} \]

Step 4: Calculate the Probability

Calculate each component:

  • \(9^4 = 6561\)
  • \(e^{-9} \approx 0.0001234\)
  • \(4! = 24\)

Substitute these values back into the formula: \[ P(X = 4) = \frac{6561 \times 0.0001234}{24} \approx 0.0340 \]

Final Answer

The probability of observing exactly 4 events is \(\boxed{0.034}\).

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