Questions: Assume the Poisson distribution applies. Use the given mean to find the indicated probability. Find P(4) when μ=9.
P(4)=
(Round to the nearest thousandth as needed.)
Transcript text: Assume the Poisson distribution applies. Use the given mean to find the indicated probability. Find $P(4)$ when $\mu=9$.
\[
P(4)=
\]
(Round to the nearest thousandth as needed.)
Solution
Solution Steps
Step 1: Understand the Problem
We are given a Poisson distribution with a mean \(\lambda = 9\). We need to find the probability of observing exactly 4 events, denoted as \(P(4)\).
Step 2: Poisson Probability Formula
The probability of observing \(k\) events in a Poisson distribution is given by the formula:
\[
P(X = k) = \frac{\lambda^k e^{-\lambda}}{k!}
\]
where:
\(\lambda\) is the average number of events,
\(k\) is the number of events for which the probability is calculated,
\(e\) is the base of the natural logarithm (approximately 2.71828).
Step 3: Substitute the Values
Substitute \(\lambda = 9\) and \(k = 4\) into the formula:
\[
P(X = 4) = \frac{9^4 e^{-9}}{4!}
\]
Step 4: Calculate the Probability
Calculate each component:
\(9^4 = 6561\)
\(e^{-9} \approx 0.0001234\)
\(4! = 24\)
Substitute these values back into the formula:
\[
P(X = 4) = \frac{6561 \times 0.0001234}{24} \approx 0.0340
\]
Final Answer
The probability of observing exactly 4 events is \(\boxed{0.034}\).