Questions: A couple plans to have three children. What is the probability that a) they have all boys? 1/8 b) they have at least one girl? 7/8

A couple plans to have three children. What is the probability that
a) they have all boys? 1/8
b) they have at least one girl? 7/8
Transcript text: A couple plans to have three children. What is the probability that a) they have all boys? $\frac{1}{8}$ b) they have at least one girl? $\frac{7}{8}$
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Solution

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Solution Steps

Step 1: Bernoulli Distribution Analysis

For a single child, the probability of having a boy (pp) is 0.50.5 and the probability of having a girl (qq) is also 0.50.5. The results of the Bernoulli distribution analysis are as follows:

  • Probability of success (having a boy): P(X=1)=p=0.5 P(X = 1) = p = 0.5

  • Probability of failure (having a girl): P(X=0)=1p=0.5 P(X = 0) = 1 - p = 0.5

  • Mean (μ\mu): μ=1p+0(1p)=p=0.5 \mu = 1 \cdot p + 0 \cdot (1 - p) = p = 0.5

  • Variance (σ2\sigma^2): σ2=p(1p)=0.25 \sigma^2 = p \cdot (1 - p) = 0.25

  • Standard Deviation (σ\sigma): σ=pq=0.5 \sigma = \sqrt{pq} = 0.5

Step 2: Probability of Having All Boys

To find the probability that the couple has all boys when they have three children, we use the binomial distribution formula: P(X=x)=(nx)pxqnx P(X = x) = \binom{n}{x} \cdot p^x \cdot q^{n-x} where n=3n = 3 (number of children), x=3x = 3 (number of boys), p=0.5p = 0.5, and q=0.5q = 0.5.

Calculating this gives: P(X=3)=(33)(0.5)3(0.5)0=10.1251=0.125 P(X = 3) = \binom{3}{3} \cdot (0.5)^3 \cdot (0.5)^{0} = 1 \cdot 0.125 \cdot 1 = 0.125

Step 3: Probability of Having at Least One Girl

To find the probability of having at least one girl, we can use the complement rule: P(at least one girl)=1P(all boys) P(\text{at least one girl}) = 1 - P(\text{all boys}) From the previous calculation, we have: P(all boys)=0.125 P(\text{all boys}) = 0.125 Thus, P(at least one girl)=10.125=0.875 P(\text{at least one girl}) = 1 - 0.125 = 0.875

Final Answer

The answers to the questions are:

  • a) The probability that they have all boys is 0.1250.125.
  • b) The probability that they have at least one girl is 0.8750.875.

0.125(all boys) \boxed{0.125} \quad \text{(all boys)} 0.875(at least one girl) \boxed{0.875} \quad \text{(at least one girl)}

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